Currently SpaceX had launched rockets in the Falcon 9 family a total of 232 times. The expectation is that when Starship is operational, Falcon 9 will be phased out in favor of Starship. Will they launch at least 500 times before retiring the Falcon 9?
This market includes early versions of Falcon 9 as well as current and potential future versions. It also includes Falcon Heavy, though each Heavy launch only counts once, not 3 times. This market does not count Falcon 1.
Failed launches count as long as they fail after liftoff.
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 500 times?97%
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 600 times?91%
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 700 times?80%
Will SpaceX' Falcon launch at least 800 times?75%
Will there ever be another failed Falcon booster landing?YES
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00