https://www.courthousenews.com/elon-musk-sues-openai-over-ai-threat/
Resolves YES if the lawsuit is dismissed because Elon Musk lacks standing.
Resolves NO if Elon Musk is judged to have legal standing, or if the lawsuit is dismissed for a different reason.
Resolves 50% if 1 month after market close and after Mira reminds traders to present evidence, no trader has either linked evidence that the case is on-going, linked evidence that it should resolve YES, or linked evidence that it should resolve NO.
Traders are responsible for presenting evidence for this market. I may search myself, but I won't follow the case closely.
Default close date is end of 2024. I will extend it if the case continues in increments of 1 year. Resolves NO at end of 2030 if market is still open.
See also: Will GPT-4 be legally considered AGI?7%
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| 5 | Ṁ23 |
https://www.reuters.com/legal/elon-musk-withdraws-lawsuit-against-openai-2024-06-11/
It seems that it won't have a chance to be dismissed for lack of standing
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00