Elon Musk has stated that X Corp (formerly Twitter) will be filing a "thermonuclear lawsuit" against Media Matters on Monday, November 20th.
This question will resolve as follows:
If the parties settle out of court with Media Matters making a substantial payment (>$1 million) to Musk/X, it resolves as YES.
In the case of a smaller settlement (e.g. retraction/apology without payment), I will resolve as N/A; for the purposes of this question, I don't consider Media Matters caving to the threat of a lawsuit to count as Musk/X prevailing in court, unless it comes with a substantial settlement.
If there is no lawsuit filed by 2024-02-29, or if Musk/X clearly state before that date that they will not be filing a suit, it resolves as NO.
If the case goes to court, the question resolves at the close of the lawsuit, based on who wins.
I will not participate in this market.
Updated 2023-12-12: Pushed out the close date to EOY 2024 since the lawsuit has actually been filed now.
1,000
3.00Extending the close time. Here's the most recent update I found (from 6 months ago): Elon Musk’s X lawsuit against Media Matters scheduled for trial in April | CNN Business
I'm assuming if they settle out of court for an undisclosed amount this will resolve N/A?
Gosh, most of this lawsuit is needless posturing. The original report makes ZERO claims about what a “real” user experiences and simply states that they found the ads.
And all the typo underlines (lol) really sell that “thermonuclear” lawsuit they’re prepping.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00