Yudkowsky meets the Pope by 2030?
11
Ṁ8362029
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The new pope, Pope Leo XIV, is very interested in artificial intelligence and advancement of AI played a factor in his papal name selection.
This resolves yes if the Pope and Yudkowsky interact, exchanging words in person, over a video call, or in reciprocated correspondence (eg open letters to each other that each answers).
Resolves 'no' if that doesn't happen by 2030.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2025?
68% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be on the Joe Rogan Experience podcast before the end of 2026?
75% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be quoted at a White House press briefing again by the end of 2025?
10% chance
At the beginning of 2035, will Eliezer Yudkowsky still believe that AI doom is coming soon with high probability?
64% chance
Eliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030
54% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky run for President of the United States by 2060?
4% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky talk like a normal person before 2030?
22% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042?
5% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be found to have committed fraud before 2030?
4% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky win a Turing Award before 2038?
6% chance