Will Netanyahu stay the Prime Minister of Israel until July 15th 2025?
Will Netanyahu stay the Prime Minister of Israel until July 15th 2025?
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu remains in power as the Prime Minister of Israel until 11:59 PM ET on July 15th 2025. "In power" is defined as Netanyahu still officially holding the office of the Prime Minister of Israel, as confirmed by reliable sources such as verified news outlets or official government statements. If Netanyahu is no longer holding the office for any reason, including death, resignation, or removal, by the stated date, the market will resolve to "No". If Netanyahu departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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