If X happens by EOY 2024, will Netanyahu be replaced as prime minister by EOY 2025?
Basic
5
แน262Dec 31
54%
Baseline (will be resolved to YES or NO only)
54%
Yoav Gallant quits or gets fired over dispute with Netanyahu
32%
Benny Gants quits or gets fired over dispute with Netanyahu
30%
IDF takes control over Rafah
Resolved
N/ABezalel Smotrich quits or gets fired over dispute with Netanyahu
Resolved
N/AIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalizes relations
At the end of 2024, I'll resolve all the options that didn't happen to N/A. Then at the end of 2025 I'll resolve the remaining options by whether or not Netanyahu serves as the prime minister of Israel.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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