Will @getAlby reach 50,000 followers on Twitter (X) in 2024?
This market will resolve to YES, if in 2024, the number of followers on the official Alby's account (@getAlby) on Twitter/X hits 25,000 or more.
The official number from Twitter will be used to resolve this market, however other sites like socialblade.com will also be helpful.
If it would be questioned, whether a number is achieved because or a bug or a temporary spike shorter than 24 hours, the resolution will wait until the YES conditions are met without a doubt.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
The number in the title does not match the number in the market description, is it 25 000 or 50 000?
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will I have 5000 Twitter followers at any point in 2025?
40% chance
Will an AI have >20 million Twitter followers by the 2025?
10% chance
Will @therealkrantz have 100,000 followers on X before 2028?
17% chance
Will an AI have >1 million Twitter followers by 2025?
86% chance
Alby December 2024: More than 40,000 active users?
34% chance
Will an AI have >100 million Twitter followers this decade?
10% chance
Alby 2024: More than 250,000 registered users?
34% chance
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky hit 10 million Twitter followers by 2037?
23% chance