Will an AI have >1 million Twitter followers by 2025?
Plus
14
Ṁ548Jan 1
86%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Tweets written by language model, aware of trends/events
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Will an AI have >1 million Twitter followers?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will an AI have >20 million Twitter followers by the 2025?
10% chance
Will an AI have >100 million Twitter followers this decade?
10% chance
Will any Twitter account with at least 100,000 followers be discovered to be an AI during 2024?
21% chance
Will any Twitter account with at least 10,000 followers be discovered to be an AI during 2024?
59% chance
Will I have 5000 Twitter followers at any point in 2025?
40% chance
Will AI be able to outperform Elon Musk as CEO of Twitter before 2025?
11% chance
Will AI write 75%+ of social media view-generating posts (default to Twitter) by EOY 2026?
8% chance
Will an AI Generated YouTube Short have more than 500 million views before the end of 2025?
51% chance
Will an AI generated X/Twitter video reach 10M views before 2025?
96% chance
Will an AI generated X/Twitter video reach 20M views before 2025?
22% chance