What will happen during the first New Glenn launch?
➕
Plus
15
Ṁ1519
2026
87%
Stage separation
85%
Main engine cut off
83%
Second stage engine start
83%
Fairing separation
79%
Second stage engine cut off
77%
Second stage reaches orbit
75%
Scrub/delay 1 hour before launch
72%
Payload deploy

The market will resolve upon confirmation of each answer by Blue Origin (either through social media, press release, or official livestream). For it to count as the "first launch," New Glenn must liftoff from the pad.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ10 NO

When referring to the 'engine cutoff' milestones, those are at the planned times, correct? I assume a engine failure or premature shutdown would result in No.

What if 1 or more engines is shutdown, will that resolve to No?

@LarsOsborne Each milestone will be resolved based on confirmation (or lack thereof) from Blue Origin.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules