By 2050, will any territory that was administered by Russia in 2013 be administered by China instead?
By 2050, will any territory that was administered by Russia in 2013 be administered by China instead?
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Slightly awkward phrasing chosen to eliminate resolutions related to Ukraine (however unlikely).
How the shift in administration takes place is beyond the purview of this question.
Question will resolve before 2050 if China demonstrates sustained (one year) administrative control of relevant territory.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
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How do I win cash prizes?
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