Bluesky's daily active users exceed 25% of X's daily active users by June 2025
Basic
5
Ṁ215Jun 1
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will Bluesky's daily active users reach at least 25% of X's daily active user count by June 1st, 2025? Currently Bluesky's daily active users are less than 10% of X's. Resolution based on comparative statistics from reliable tech industry sources.
Update 2024-12-12 (PST): The market will be resolved based on global user counts rather than US-only user counts for both Bluesky and X. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@traders, is it ok if I modify the question from “US users” to “users”? I think it will make it easier to resolve.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Bluesky have 50 million users by September 2025? (~triple what it is mid-November)
45% chance
How many users will Bluesky have at the end of 2025?
Will Bluesky social have more monthly active users than Twitter by March 1st, 2028?
13% chance
Will Bluesky have 36 million or more users at the end of 2025?
85% chance
Will BlueSky overtake X in active users before June 1st 2025
4% chance
When will Bluesky reach 100 million users?
Manifold Monthly Active users at end of 2025
Will Manifold Reach X number of Monthly Active Users in 2025?
Twitter (X) Crosses 1 billion Monthly Active Users by 2030
28% chance
Will BlueSky have over 10 million users by the end of 2027?
97% chance