US College enrollment rate over 50% in 2026
US College enrollment rate over 50% in 2026
Basic
7
Ṁ1912027
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
According to the National Center for Education Statistics, 40% of 18-24 year olds in the United States were enrolled in college.
https://nces.ed.gov/programs/coe/indicator/cpb/college-enrollment-rate
This claim resolves as YES if the same figure is over 50% in the year 2026.
Data for resolving this question will be taken from nces.ed.gov or an equivalently trustworthy source.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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