Will Trump refuse to carry out or obey any Supreme Court decisions?
7
Ṁ157
2029
72%
chance

Background

Donald Trump's relationship with the judicial system has been contentious throughout his political career. During his first administration (2017-2021), there were multiple instances where his administration challenged, delayed implementation of, or sought workarounds to court orders:

  • In 2017, after courts blocked his travel ban, the administration issued revised versions until finding one that could withstand judicial scrutiny

  • The Trump administration initially resisted a Supreme Court ruling on adding a citizenship question to the census

  • In a recent case (April 2024), the Supreme Court had to order the Trump administration to unfreeze foreign assistance payments that had been withheld

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve as YES if, during the second Trump administration (2025-2029):

  1. Trump or his administration explicitly refuses to comply with or implement any ruling from SCOTUS, AND

  2. This refusal is documented through official statements, actions, or credible reporting from multiple mainstream news sources.

The market will resolve as NO if:

  • Trump complies with all Supreme Court rulings, OR

  • Trump's administration challenges rulings through legal channels but ultimately complies after exhausting legal options.

In case of legal ambiguities, I will resolve based on my perceived consensus among legal scholars. If no clear consensus emerged, the question will resolve NO.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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