Will the Axolotl (Ambystoma mexicanum) become extinct in the current century?
Basic
4
Ṁ3012099
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Axolotl is a species of salamander native only to lakes in the Valley of Mexico. The species is famous for their regenerative abilities. While less than 1000 individuals remain in the wild, captive Axolotls are used in scientific research and as a pets. This market will resolve YES if the Axolotl is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Axolotl
IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Critically endangered
https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/1095/53947343
For comparison, here the market about the wild extinction risk of the Axolotl:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the wild population of the Axolotl (Ambystoma mexicanum) become extinct by 2100?
73% chance
Will the American Bullfrog (Aquarana catesbeianus) become extinct in the current century?
12% chance
Will the Fire Salamander (Salamandra salamandra) become extinct in the current century?
19% chance
Will the Wyoming Toad, aka Baxter's Toad (Anaxyrus baxteri) become extinct in the current century?
26% chance
Will the Galápagos Pink Land Iguana (Conolophus marthae) become extinct in the current century?
87% chance
Will the Marine Iguana, aka Sea Iguana (Amblyrhynchus cristatus) become extinct in the current century?
58% chance
Will the American Alligator (Alligator mississippiensis) become extinct in the current century?
16% chance
Will the Galápagos Land Iguana (Conolophus subcristatus) become extinct in the current century?
56% chance
Will Steve Horvath get a pet axolotl by EOY2035?
50% chance
Will Michael Levin get a pet axolotl by EOY 2035?
50% chance