Will the Vaquita (Phocoena sinus) become extinct in the current century? | Manifold

Will the Vaquita (Phocoena sinus) become extinct in the current century?

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15

Ṁ1769

2099

95%

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This market will resolve YES if the Vaquita is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vaquita

IUCN red list of threatened species

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/17028/214541137

For comparison here the market about the wild extinction risk of the species:

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Extinction Risk

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Latest count spotted only 6 to 8 individuals: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/11/climate/vaquita-porpoise-survey-mexico.html

Each may the Sea Shepherd Conservation Society does its annual population survey of the Vaquita porpoise: https://www.theinertia.com/environment/searching-for-the-vaquita-porpoise-the-worlds-most-endangered-cetacean/

3 dead Vaquita found: https://twitter.com/MeganRisingSeas/status/1762675483475599592

https://seashepherd.org/2024/02/21/scientists-report-02-21-24/

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