Will there be an AI-powered trader on Manifold in the top 20 profit leaderboard by end of 2026? | Manifold

Will there be an AI-powered trader on Manifold in the top 20 profit leaderboard by end of 2026?

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45

Ṁ4099

2027

71%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

All decisions regarding bets from this account must be made from an AI system. Bots that trade based on set rules decided by a human do not count.

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Would a bot that learned simple trading rules count? Looking at the existing bots those seem pretty profitable already. Or are you thinking about some sort of sophisticated NLP kind of AI?

predictedYES

@Thomas42 I don't think a simple bot that was provided instructions to trade on Manifold should count as artificial intelligence.

predictedYES

All Time Top Traders leaderboard?

predictedYES

How will this get proven?

@blake it would require that the operator / organizer / AI itself disclose it's identity

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