Does this refer to a single AI model or to a system with scaffolding? What tools is the model allowed to use?

Are there any examples of currently profitable LLM bots?

By users you mean human users right? Anything in the silicon league excluded?

Hmm... I think that this might depend crucially on how many inaccurate users Manifold will have at that point (e.g., would you count people who haven't been active for years, or all the people who lost their starting Mana in a few bets and then stopped using the platform)?

Not sure how you're measuring accuracy, but acc is more profitable and I don't have a better way to measure accuracy.

In accuracy or profit?

@Predictor accuracy. updated the market.