Market is based on this tweet:
https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1912243208421023763?t=xh3ziFk65IwEzjM8fuw12w&s=19
Can a normal, first time, unaffiliated Tesla customer purchase a Model Y and have it drive itself autonomously (with no human occupants) to their home address more than 10 miles away from a Tesla facility.
This needn't cover the entire US, but at least 1% of the US population should be eligible, coverage of multiple cities/urban areas in both California, Texas, and at least 100 such deliveries have credibly taken place.
(I'm open to minor alterations to these criteria until May in the spirit of this service being available to a significant fraction of customers, outside of special promotional activities)
This market resolves to 'Yes' if Tesla officially offers a service where a vehicle autonomously drives itself to a customer's home by December 31st, 2025. Otherwise, it resolves to 'No'.
Clarify before betting, I won't trade on this market.