I think that even if there is a widely available cure for all diseases and aging by 2050, the mortality rate would still be above 0.05%

@MalachiteEagle why is that?
If humans are not dying from diseases and aging then the mortality rate will drop to 0.05% or lower. It is explained in the background section.

@yaqubali you are using current estimations to make a prediction for 2050. There's a good chance that this does not make sense. There are plenty of reasons for this. For example, there could be a major global conflict in 2050 raising the mortality rate, despite diseases and aging being cured. There could be a society-scale pro-suicide movement.

@yaqubali there could be an epidemic of homicides

@MalachiteEagle there could be a spike in fatal accidents

@yaqubali there could be things where the definition of dying gets less clear cut than it is in 2025. Like cryogenics, uploading, replacing brain regions with artificial components...

Then it gets much harder to define the mortality rate

@yaqubali there could be weird stuff like diseases being cured but people ritualistically infect themselves with a deadly pathogen for religious reasons and then resurrect from backups

@yaqubali all kinds of things could happen by 2050

@MalachiteEagle The CDC benchmark is based on the mortality rates of biological humans. That is the resolution criteria.

@yaqubali if all disease and aging is cured then people are going to start doing weird things. My guess is that the set of things they end up doing that's different to what we do in 2025 (if we're indeed on this timeline), would result in a higher mortality rate.

@yaqubali that can be something as mundane as lots of people taking up dangerous sports

@yaqubali does what I'm saying make sense? I think your question is good, you just need to adjust the criteria a bit to account for these sorts of changes in baseline mortality trends etc

@yaqubali oh and also all the people who would choose not to take cures for aging and stuff. Got to account for that