By 2026 will there be autonomous AI good enough that I use it?
Basic
1
Ṁ30
2026
37%
chance

  • Update 2025-07-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has specified the following:

    • Agentic coding models will count towards a YES resolution, in addition to the initially considered personal assistant models.

    • The market will resolve YES if the creator's usage is frequent enough, based on their personal judgment.

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General update: I currently make occasional use of agentic coding models. When I made this market I was thinking more about personal assistant models, but I do think they count. I don't think I use them enough to resolve this market YES right now, but given that we still have six months to market close I think it's pretty likely this ends up resolving YES.

What counts as autonomous AI? How are you planning to use it? Why aren't you using any of the currently available AIs?

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