Will there be a widely commercially available Cryonics provider that is using aldehyde-stabilized brain preservation protocol by 2025?
Will there be a widely commercially available Cryonics provider that is using aldehyde-stabilized brain preservation protocol by 2025?
Basic
7
Ṁ194resolved Jan 20
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
The protocol I'm referring to is something similar to what has been used in https://www.brainpreservation.org/large-mammal-announcement/
This market resolves to yes if either:
- there is a new company that offers this protocol to its customers and as widely available for sign-up as Alcor/CI/Tomorrow Biostasis
- one of the current large providers starts offering this protocol as an option
Note: Oregon Cryonics seems to be offering something at least partially similar to this protocol, but does not fit "widely commercially available"
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ65 | |
2 | Ṁ5 | |
3 | Ṁ4 | |
4 | Ṁ3 | |
5 | Ṁ0 |
Sort by:
Is there a particular reason why Oregon doesn't count? They provide the service I believe, is it cause they don't have a sign up model or is there something I'm missing?
@NeoPangloss You basically can only do it if you live in Salem, Oregon. They also seem to prioritize next of kin preservation for some reason and say that "self preservation" is minority of their cases and it seems like their infrastructure for that is not super developed.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will cryonics be noticeably more prominent in the public consciousness in August 2025 than it is now?
11% chance
Will we get cryopreservation before 2040?
17% chance
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2050?
15% chance
Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology?
39% chance
Will we get cryopreservation before 2036?
5% chance
Will we get cryopreservation before 2041?
49% chance
Will we get cryopreservation before 2042?
39% chance
Will we get cryopreservation before 2037?
5% chance
Will we get cryopreservation before 2039?
9% chance
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2050?
15% chance