Will Extropic AI ship functional chips to customers by December 31st 2025? | Manifold

Will Extropic AI ship functional chips to customers by December 31st 2025?

Plus

29

Ṁ11k

Dec 31

46%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Inspired by this tweet:

(https://x.com/BasedBeffJezos/status/1890771749727248794)

Help predict whether Extropic AI will successfully deliver "functional silicon thermodynamic chips to customers in 2025." Resolution will be based on public announcements from Extropic AI or credible sources confirming actual shipment of working chips to customers.

For a positive resolution the chips shipped must be actual thermodynamic chips, and not say digital emulation dev kits using FPGAs.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Technology

#️ X (Twitter)

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

bought Ṁ250 NO

Ya... I mean... there's a reason their testing module is shipping with two chips in it, one "thermodynamic" one and one conventional chip.

based on gut instinct alone this market should be at 0%

Update:

Update:

Beff promises something in the coming weeks.

Related questions

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

xAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Will I Think Extropic AI Accelerated Timelines by EOY 2027?

Will Anthropic announce one of their AI systems is ASL-3 before the end of 2025?

xAI launches its own browser by EOY2025?

Will Extropic AI demonstrate a working thermo-chip by 2050?

+8% 1d75% chance

When will Extropic AI ship a product?

At end of 2025, one of the top five software engineering AIs will be exclusively used by 100 or fewer tech companies

US bans TSMC from selling advanced AI chips to all Chinese companies in 2025?

Will Anthropic announce one of their AI systems is ASL-4 or higher before the end of 2025?

Related questions

Meta sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

Will Extropic AI demonstrate a working thermo-chip by 2050?

xAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?

When will Extropic AI ship a product?

Will I Think Extropic AI Accelerated Timelines by EOY 2027?

At end of 2025, one of the top five software engineering AIs will be exclusively used by 100 or fewer tech companies

Will Anthropic announce one of their AI systems is ASL-3 before the end of 2025?

US bans TSMC from selling advanced AI chips to all Chinese companies in 2025?

xAI launches its own browser by EOY2025?

Will Anthropic announce one of their AI systems is ASL-4 or higher before the end of 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules