What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
507
Ṁ95k
Oct 10
99.5%
White
99.2%
The shooter is alive when this market hits 100 traders
99.2%
Gamer
99.1%
20-27 years old
99%
Did it on purpose
99%
US citizen
99%
Male
99%
The shooter killed Charlie Kirk
99%
Native English speaker (L1)
99%
Is a registered voter
99%
ectomorph body type
99%
at least ten questions in this market resolve YES (excluding questions about other question's resolutions) (excluding N/A)
99%
had fired a weapon at least once in their life before shooting Charlie Kirk
99%
Is named Tyler Robinson
99%
Lives (or has lived) in Utah
98.9%
Is the same person the FBI identified as the “person of interest”
98.9%
Resided in the same state as the incident
98.9%
used a bolt action rifle
98.8%
has at least one sibling
98.8%
Born in the United States

  • Update 2025-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If it's ambiguous whether the shooter is male, this market will resolve to N/A.

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According to reporting from The New York Times:

Mr. Robinson's messages on Discord appeared next to his avatar, which was from a Garfield comic and depicted the confused face of Garfield's owner, Jon Arbuckle.

Was it this one? The famed pipe strip?

@Marnix nvm it was apparently this one. n/a this one

From NYT: "When another user suggested that the killing of Mr. Kirk would lead President Trump to send the National Guard to Utah, the suspect replied, 'in a red state??? nah CLEARLY the shooter was from california.'"

sounds pretty groyper

@Marnix Would someone like the Unabomber count? Ted K had untreated gender dysphoria but never did hormones or used she/her pronouns. Was a cis man but was an AGP with dysphoria who wanted to be trans.

@nathanwei i am NOT transvestigating the Unabomber at 2 am. i'll think about this tomorrow

NYT dropped this.

https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/13/us/kirk-killing-suspect-online-chat.html

Apparently he was joking about the killing in a group chat with friends while on the run (allegedly)

@dgga Ah, I am subscribed for the games so didnt realize there was a paywall. Apologies.

@256 Would this resolve as No if the gun was legally acquired by someone else that he stole it from?

@Xizted yes, i would resolve that as NO. But i think the market owner has the final say.

@Xizted I agree with @256

opened a Ṁ100 YES at 20% order

Can we define furry?

bought Ṁ25 NO

@Marnix Interesting idea, but I doubt he would hear the discussion well enough to do it. I think this would require an accomplice

@Xizted from what i understand, he was on the roof straight in front of Kirk, and Kirk had a speaker setup, so I see this as being fairly plausible without an accomplice

@Marnix I am obviously not 100% sure on this, but I have a feeling the speakers would not be loud enough

bought Ṁ30 YES

https://nypost.com/2025/09/13/us-news/charlie-kirk-shooter-tyler-robinson-lived-with-transgender-partner/

That makes him gay or bisexual. If you are hetero you do not like penis and in case of vagina, you like the real stuff.

@KripkeSaul

  1. "Man who's a partner of a trans woman" is not intended to be and should not be covered by this. That would typically be included under "queer," if anything, which was not listed

  2. The article does not actually say he's in a romantic relationship here - this is a roommate

  3. There doesn't seem to be much evidence cited that this person is trans outside of one unnamed source. The other person they asked said they didn't know if they were trans or not

  4. The NY Post has been engaging in some pretty motivated reasoning to connect this and past shootings to trans people and I'd hesitate to cite them uncritically for things like this

@KripkeSaul I disagree with your message for other reasons too, but I will point out this is not consistent with Reuters reporting that he lived at his parents house at the time of the shooting

"At the time of the shooting, Robinson was living at his parents' house in Washington, a farming and residential community of approximately 28,000 near Zion National Park in southwestern Utah."

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/who-is-tyler-robinson-suspect-charlie-kirks-murder-2025-09-12/

Edit: Axios seems to be reporting too, so its likely the info about him living at his parents place is incorrect. Most likely his registered address is there and Reuters based the reporting on that.

@Marnix Bullshit. It is not 100% proof ,I agree. But any recourse to "queer" is bullshit. That is one of the most wishy-washy labels out there. The options are:

You like dick.

You like pussy.

You like neither.

You like both.

filled a Ṁ5 YES at 74% order

@KripkeSaul What about breasts? Are we allowed to like them?

bought Ṁ10 NO

@Xizted I see no inconsistency. You can live in two places. (Say, parents during the weekday, roommates with your friend during weekends).

@MaxMorehead the engravings were on the casings, not the bullets, no? Why is this 99%?

@dgga I meant cartridges. I put imthe response up before it was clear to me whether the "writing on ammo" was fake news.

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