What proportion of seats will Labour win in the next election for Parliament?
Basic
12
Ṁ3083Jan 29
60%
chance
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After the next election for UK Parliament, this question will resolve to the percentage of seats that were won by the Labour party in the House of Commons. If the election has not happened by close date, the date will be extended.
This market was created for OPTIC London S24. A question in that tournament will resolve according to the probability of this market at a random time during the week of March 24.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@toms can this be resolved? The election was held on 4th July 2024 and Labour won 411 out of 650 seats, for about 63% of the seats.
Although I think you should consider resolving NA because some people seem to have been trading under the impression that this market was about the election after the one in 2024.
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