
Which US Presidents will live to see AGI?
Plus
45
Ṁ60332051
67%
Barack Obama
58%
George W. Bush
43%
Bill Clinton
39%
Donald Trump
19%
Joe Biden
All listed who are alive when an artificial general intelligence (AGI) is created will resolve YES. Any who die before this time will resolve NO.
Whether AGI has been reached will depend on this market. So, there must be proof of an AI passing the Turing test for any living president in this market to resolve YES.
If any new president is elected before AGI, their name will be added to this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Which former U.S. President will live longer? Clinton or Bush?
Which US president will be a centenarian?
Which presidents will become more highly rated by presidential historians between 2021 and 2025?
What will be true about at least one US president elected before 2050?
Will an AI hold a high national office in the United States before January 1st, 2040?
4% chance
Will there be at least 5 living ex-POTUSes at any point before 2045?
71% chance
From today to after the presidential inauguration in 2041, will the US have at least one president who is ___?
Will the US have a president that's less than 50 years old by the end of 2029?
49% chance
Will a U.S. President die in office before 2034?
31% chance
Which President will pass away before 2030