Will the first First Gentleman of the USA be Jewish?
Will the first First Gentleman of the USA be Jewish?
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27
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22%
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Must make public statements confirming
First Gentleman is the male equivalent of First Lady - the husband of the President of the United States
Open continuously until there is a First Gentleman
Will the first First Gentleman of the USA be Catholic?26%
Will the first First Gentleman of the USA be Muslim?6%
Will the first First Gentleman of the USA be atheist?13%
Will the first First Gentleman of the USA be known to be a gamer?37%
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Likely first First Gentlemen's spouses and religions:
Kamala Harris / Jewish
Nikki Haley / Methodist
Michelle Obama / Protestant
Pete Buttigieg / (unclear, probably either Catholic or Episcopalian)
Gretchen Whitmer / (unclear)
Ivanka Trump / Jewish
Tulsi Gabbard / Hindu
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
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