Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Microsoft?
Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Microsoft?
Plus
26
Ṁ10702041
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Link: https://companiesmarketcap.com/
See: Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft?49%
See: Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia?77%
See: Will the first $10 Trillion company be a company other than Apple or Microsoft?52%
See: 💰If the first $10 Trillion dollar company is NOT Apple or Microsoft, which company will it be?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ70 NO1y
It would have traded lower if market was “Will Microsoft rich 10T evaluation before 0”
Currently, the different markets are:
Microsoft: 35%
Apple: 34%
Microsoft or Apple: 35%
Something literally doesn't add up...
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will the first $5 trillion dollar company be Microsoft?
20% chance
Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft?
49% chance
Will the first $10 Trillion company be a company other than Apple or Microsoft?
52% chance
When will there be a company worth $4T or more?
Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple?
27% chance
Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Apple OR Microsoft OR Nvidia?
77% chance
💰If the first $10 Trillion dollar company is NOT Apple or Microsoft, which company will it be?
Which will be the first $10 trillion tech company?
Will the first $5 trillion dollar company be Apple?
22% chance
Will the first $10 Trillion dollar company be Nvidia?
36% chance