Will a human complete a Perfect Run of Super Mario Bros like @summoningsalt predicts by EOY 2030 | Manifold

Will a human complete a Perfect Run of Super Mario Bros like @summoningsalt predicts by EOY 2030

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Recently humans have been closing the time gap between the world record Super Mario Bros speedrun, and the Tool Assisted Speedrun (TAS) theoretical optimal time for the game. It is possible that a human will complete a full perfect run of the game in the future, and tie the TAS time.

Link: https://twitter.com/summoningsalt/status/1755314279715398099

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The only way this doesn't happen is if the community essentially dies. With regular events like PACE encouraging lots of people to speedrun the game, and with Youtubers like Kosmic promoting it, it's bound to happen.

Not going to bet rn but imo this will 100% happen. SMB runners are a different breed trust me.

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Will a human player reach level 255 in NES Tetris by 2027?

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Will the 120 Star speedrun World Record for Super Mario 64 be less than 1h35m00s on Jan 1st 2028? (1h34mXXs)

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