🪇Which artists will get a Tiny Desk Concert on NPR before the end of 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]
🪇Which artists will get a Tiny Desk Concert on NPR before the end of 2027? [ADD RESPONSES]
Plus
24
Ṁ18282028
87%
SZA
81%
Lady Gaga
71%
Ice Spice
68%
Victoria Monet
65%
Beyonce
64%
Grimes
50%
Jay-z
50%
Radiohead
50%
Datura Lacroye
50%
Kendrick Lamar
50%
Blink 182
50%
Aesop Rock
50%
ASAP Rocky
48%
Snoop Dogg
42%
Muse
34%
Linkin Park
33%
Bizarrap
32%
DaBaby
30%
Jeff Mangum
29%
Modest Mouse
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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