At the end of 2025 will the most commonly used card in Standard Magic the Gathering decks be a Land card? (non-Basic)
Basic
15
Ṁ216
2026
50%
chance

Will be going off of 'All 2025 Decks' in Standard format here: https://mtgtop8.com/topcards

NOT INCLUDING BASIC LANDS

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ5 YES

I don't know anything about Magic the Gathering, but I do know how to scrape a website, look at a few matplotlib charts and decide, based on a combination of evidence and general attunement to cosmic vibrations, that this market should be trading at 50%. My data and code, if anyone thinks they can do better.

@cherrvak cool!

@strutheo Thank you. I’m particularly curious about @Ajelenbogen’s bets on your last few MTG markets. I’ve noticed that he occupies the opposite side of my positions, so we’ll have a nice test of whether domain-specific knowledge will beat blind statistical analysis.

@cherrvak Oh I imagine you'll beat me where we disagree. I mostly don't think expert and exacting knowledge of Standard will beat raw statistics. I just figured I'd know more than average and fired off a few beats.

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