What will the primary target of the next nuclear bomb used in conflict be?
Basic
5
Ṁ2832050
1D
1W
1M
ALL
69%
Military
31%
Civilian
Ask hypotheticals to clarify resolution conditions, ambiguous cases resolve with what I think seems more correct.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@spider this should have been a dependent multiple choice market (or better yet, a special-cased binary market with the two options labeled).
Related questions
Related questions
In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, where it will be dropped first?
In the eventuality of a nuclear weapon being used, which country is most likely to detonate it first?
What country will detonate the next nuclear weapon?
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated on a civilian or military target by 2030?
31% chance
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2025?
19% chance
Will the next use of a nuclear bomb in combat be due to a mistaken belief that another bomb was used?
29% chance
Will a nuclear device be used offensively before April 1, 2025?
5% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?
48% chance
What will be the next city to be nuked? (add your picks)
Will there be more nuclear warheads in the world in 2030 than 2023?
69% chance