Will fewer than 50% of Fortune 500 companies be incorporated in Delaware at the end of 2026?
Will fewer than 50% of Fortune 500 companies be incorporated in Delaware at the end of 2026?
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23
Ṁ9782026
15%
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currently >60%
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Musk’s anger with Delaware stems from a circumstance very particular to Musk (his outrageously high Tesla pay package)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
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Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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🏢Which companies will fall off the Fortune 500 USA list in 10 years, at the end of 2034? [ADD RESPONSES]