Which countries will take more than 100,000 Palestinians between 2025 and end of 2026?
Which countries will take more than 100,000 Palestinians between 2025 and end of 2026?
Basic
23
Ṁ10842026
70%
Egypt
54%
Jordan
4%
Indonesia
3%
Israel
2%
USA
1.9%
Norway
1.8%
Ireland
1.6%
Spain
1.2%
United Kingdom
Options resolve as soon as a country is reliably known to have at least 100,000 Palestinian migrants, even if it's not permanent // only relocations following the market creation count // if a country annexes a Palestinian Territory, it counts as that country taking the outstanding population
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Maybe you want to add Great Britain: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2025/02/11/court-gives-gazans-right-settle-uk-palestine-ukraine/
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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