will someone try to navigate "seas that aren't too choppy" in a Cybertruck before the end of 2024?

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Ṁ4715

Jan 1

10%

chance

ALL

in 2022, Elon posted this tweet:

will anyone put it to the test now that Cybertruck has started to ship to customers? will resolve YES if anyone attempts to cross any body of water (salty or sweet) that requires some degree of submersion (meaning average river crossing that any truck/SUV could cross with a snorkel doesn't count) by the end of 2024.

while potentially hilarious, success or failure is irrelevant - the market is for an attempt.

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3mo

@traders apologies, I've been on an unplanned extended hiatus but back and trying to get markets resolved. I haven't seen any evidence of this happening within the criteria as defined, so planning to resolve no. any evidence to the contrary?

I did find this and it made me chuckle:

https://www.reddit.com/r/WinStupidPrizes/s/JCOEXTtx7L

Not quite a sea, but getting closer.

https://insideevs.com/news/709616/tesla-cybertruck-water-wade-mode-test-video-damage/

predictedYES 1y

I can't believe it's becoming official.

bought Ṁ75 YES from 83% to 86% 1y

This seems right up MrBeast's alley.

predictedYES

@dph121 oh my god this is the best option - maybe a good personal goal to try to nudge this tweet/idea into his camp?

Fantastic banner

predictedYES 1y

@colorednoise if that's how it looks IRL I'll eat my shoe

Of course they will

@billga ngl I want this to be true

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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

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