will a STEM-focused K-12 opened by Elon Musk hold classes by the end of 2025?
will a STEM-focused K-12 opened by Elon Musk hold classes by the end of 2025?
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related to this market, which resolves when there's clear indication of Elon Musk's K-12 school opening and providing education, this market resolves if a class has commenced by the end of 2025.
I will resolve yes when class starts - however and whenever this school defines as a school year - whether that's in 2024 or 2025. resolves no if the school year begins after 2025, even if the class schedule is established.
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Yes, student body is already lined up for 2024. Page 22 of the legal filing:
https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rUU_RDpkhmuQ/v0
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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