Early presidential elections called in Turkey before December 31, 2025

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Nov 29

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This market resolves YES if presidential elections are officially announced and scheduled to take place in Turkey at any point during 2025, and NO otherwise.

The next regular Turkish presidential election is currently scheduled for no later than May 7, 2028, as President Erdoğan was re-elected in 2023 for a 5-year term. However, political circumstances can change, and early elections could potentially be called.

Resolution will be based on official announcements from the Turkish government or Supreme Election Council (YSK).

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bought Ṁ20 YES3mo

CHP's leader announced that they're starting a national campaign to make this happen.

https://www.diken.com.tr/ozel-duyurdu-erken-secim-icin-buyuk-kampanya-baslatiliyor/

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Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

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