Mani is the upcoming slimmed down Manifold app designed for normie users.
At the end of the year I will make a community poll asking the following question:
"Was Mani a mistake?"
This market will resolve after the poll has been up for a week based on poll results. If the poll is somehow compromised due to botting or some other untrustworthy methods, I will work to count non-bots only.
I will NOT bet in this market, and will NOT vote in the poll.
If Mani is never publicly released, resolves N/A.
1,000
3.00Lol. Mani is the name of the breeding bull of simmenthal stock that my cousin sold for a finnish record price.
There's a bit of postselection bias here, as many of the "mani = bad" scenarios will result in N/A.
I'm betting down a bit based on this.
@VitorBosshard +1, opportunity cost is a thing. One of the main failure cases is no real deliverable but lots of wasted effort. Counting this as N/A only makes sense if it's abandoned quickly with little investment.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00