Next month's trailing 12-month CPI above 2.5%?
7
Ṁ214Aug 15
81%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the 12 months ending July 2025, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), is greater than 2.5%. The CPI data is typically released in the second week of the following month. The relevant report can be found on the BLS website: Consumer Price Index News Release.
Update 2025-07-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that this market will resolve based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the 12 months ending July 2025. The mention of June 2025 in the description was a mistake.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will the core CPI have increased more than 5% YOY at the end of 2025?
43% chance
Will the CPI in the US exceed 10% on a year-over-year basis at any point before 2026?
6% chance
Will US inflation be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years?
88% chance
Will the CPI (less food and energy) be above 373.03 on Sept 2027?
50% chance