Who will win the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament?
Basic
14
Ṁ382
2027
16%
Fabiano Caruana
14%
Arjun Erigaisi
7%
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
6%
Alireza Firouzja
5%
Hikaru Nakamura
4%
Wei Yi
4%
Ian Nepomniachtchi
3%
Praggnanandhaa R
3%
Other
3%
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
3%
Vidit Santosh Gujrathi
3%
Ding Liren
2%
Gukesh D
2%
Magnus Carlsen
1.4%
Daniil Dubov
1.4%
Wang Hao
1.3%
Anish Giri
1.3%
Vincent Keymer
1.3%
Vladislav Artemiev
1.3%
Alexey Sarana

This market refers to this event:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Chess_Championship_2026#Candidates_Tournament

An option resolves YES if a player wins the event and NO otherwise. If they do not participate, their option resolves NO. If the tournament is delayed past 2026, I will adjust the resolution date until the end of the tournament.

I have added all of the players who currently (as of May 7, 2024) have a live classical chess rating >= 2700. No additional players will be added. The market resolves 'Other' if a player not on this list wins the event.

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