Will there be ceasefires in the Ukraine/Russia and Israel/Hamas wars during the Trump presidency?
Plus
6
Ṁ7602029
75%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Trump claims to be the great deal maker, and a peacetime president. Will there be a ceasefire that lasts at least 24hours in each of the Ukraine/Russia and Israel/Hamas wars?
The ceasefires don’t need to be at the same time, but both must be while Trump is president. Armistices, treaties, or other formal war endings will also qualify. Resolves NO at the end of the second Trump presidency.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will The Russia-Ukraine War End Within 90 days of Trump Taking Office? [see description]
21% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
74% chance
Will Trump End the Israel-Hamas War Within 100 days of Taking Office? [Polymarket]
52% chance
What Event Will Happen First: Israel/Hamas Ceasefire, Russia/Ukraine Ceasefire, Trump Re-Elected, Biden Re-elected
What Event Will Happen First: Israel/Hamas Ceasefire, Russia/Ukraine Ceasefire, Trump Re-Elected, Harris Elected
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24h of his inauguration?
3% chance
Will there be a lasting cease-fire in the Russia-Ukraine war in 2024?
1% chance
Will an Israel:Hamas ceasefire come before a Russia:Ukraine one? ☮️🤝🇷🇺🇺🇦🇮🇱🇵🇸
81% chance
If Trump is elected, will the 2023 Israel-Gaza war be ongoing in June 2025?
30% chance
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 days of his inauguration?
7% chance