The Republicans will be the party to eliminate the Filibuster
The Republicans will be the party to eliminate the Filibuster
Plus
21
Ṁ7592027
64%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is not talking about small changes to the rules of closure (see related market for that below), this is talking about the full elimination of the Filibuster, such that all bills in the Senate pass with a simple majority.
Will the Republicans be the party to make this change? This Resolves based on whichever party the Majority leader in the Senate belongs to.
Market will extend as needed.
See other Filibuster markets:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Is the filibuster part of more than a simple majority to pass things? I thought it was purely stopping the bill from being voted on.
@Shrewdan I’d just read the Wikipedia on this. It’s fairly complex, but yes, the Filibuster largely requires 60 votes to pass bills in the Senate, but the rules and applications have changed over the years.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will a Republican senate vote in a Democratic Supreme Court nominee?
Will Republicans abolish the filibuster before the end of 2028?
9% chance
If Republicans take the trifecta in 2024, will they abolish the filibuster?
9% chance
The Republicans will be the next party to use the Nuclear Option for cloture 🐘⚖️🫏
52% chance
If the GOP win a trifecta, will the Senate use the 'Nuclear Option' to break legislative filibuster before Sept '25?
21% chance
Will Republicans maintain a majority in the House of Representatives throughout the 119th Congress?
90% chance
Who during, the next Congress, will call on the next Senate to eliminate or limit the filibuster? [Add Answers]
If the GOP wins a trifecta in 2024, will they end the filibuster by the midterm election?
20% chance
If the filibuster is abolished in the USA senate, will the Democrats be the majority at the time?
29% chance
Will the legislative filibuster weakened before 2026?
33% chance