By 2030, there will be a prediction market w/ 1M+ MAU that resolves predictions using an AI model exclusively
Basic
1
Ṁ302029
28%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
How to "resolve" predictions is the trickiest part of a prediction market. Soon there will be an AI that consumes current events that we all trust enough to be the authoratative source for determining the outcomes of the predictions.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Twitter incorporate a prediction market into its platform by 2027?
61% chance
Will prediction markets become mainstream by 2028?
57% chance
Will X integrate with any prediction market by the end of the 2025?
70% chance
Will X/Twitter have a prediction market functionality by the end of 2030?
56% chance
Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]
16% chance
There will be a new business vertical that uses prediction markets as a core feature by 2030
53% chance
How many open Polymarket markets about AI at the end of 2025?
An AI model with 100 trillion parameters exists by the end of 2025?
20% chance
When will a real money prediction market about OpenAI announcing AGI first stay above 90% for one month?
Will an AI model outperform 95% of Manifold users on accuracy before 2026?
49% chance