This will resolve based on the total number of people that cross the Rafah border as reported by a major publication, including the New York Times, Al Jazeera, BBC or another based on my discretion. If multiple numbers are reported, I will choose one based on my discretion. Only one outcome will be chosen. For example, if the number reported is 60,000 only "50,001 - 100,000" will be chosen.
Example article: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/11/1/egypt-opens-rafah-crossing-for-limited-number-of-gaza-patients
1,000
3.00https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/06/29/egypt-palestinians-gaza-war-refugees/
CAIRO — When Israel launched its war against Hamas, Cairo was adamant: It would not accept Palestinian refugees. Yet more than 115,000 Gazans have crossed into Egypt since October, the Palestinian Authority’s embassy here estimates.
CAIRO—Although Egypt has refused to accept refugees from the Gaza Strip, more than 100,000 Palestinians have crossed the border into Egypt since the start of Israel’s offensive in Gaza following Hamas’s attack on Oct. 7, 2023.
https://amp.dw.com/en/gaza-is-my-heart-palestinians-struggle-with-life-in-egypt/a-70772582
The actual number of Palestinians from Gaza now living in Egypt is yet to be determined.
In May, the Palestinian ambassador to Egypt, Diab al-Louh, estimated the number at around 100,000, however local aid workers believe the number is higher.
Here's a recent report citing >100K.
@m2 given that it uses the phrase "people fleeing genocide" unironically and refuses to even name the writer, I don't think this is a credible source.
Current estimate is 8,000-10,000, by the Border Authority of Gaza:
@CarmelHadar What scenariodo you envision in which egypt would allow more than 100k to cross?
@Shai the scenario that they get paid for it enough money.
This is already happening.
@Shump There are some estimates, such as: https://news.sky.com/story/the-price-of-freedom-the-company-making-millions-from-gazas-misery-13081454
@CarmelHadar Those companies are not operating legally. They are brokers who pay off Egyptian officials. It's not enforced though. A-Sisi encourages this kind of corruption.
@Shump
well its funny to define this thing as illegal.
i bet that most of the money goes directly to the Egyptian government (500 million dollars).
I see your point cuz its against the law of Egypt, but still, its absurd. the guy who manages the company is a friend of a-sisi.
anyway, it must be more then 100K now, even tho it probably will stop now when IDF got the Rafah Cross