When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released?
When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released?
Plus
8
Ṁ5632040
15%
Before 2026
31%
Before 2027
38%
Before 2028
57%
Before 2029
43%
Before 2030
56%
Before 2035
74%
Before 2040
Fire & Blood by George R. R. Martin was published in 2018; it is a fictional history book set in the world of the author's as-yet-unfinished fantasy series A Song of Ice and Fire. A second volume of the book, with the planned title Blood & Fire, is expected, though Martin has said that he will not publish it before the release of the next novel in the ASOIAF series, The Winds of Winter.
This is an independent multiple-choice market; each option will resolve YES if the book is published (not just announced) before the year listed in the answer. It doesn't matter whether or not the second volume is split into multiple books (as some fans have speculated); the publication of a single sequel to Fire & Blood counts. Posthumous publications, including those involving another living author, (like the final books in the The Wheel of Time series) also count.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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