Will General Relativity be overturned as our best understanding of large-scale physics before the end of 2025?
Will General Relativity be overturned as our best understanding of large-scale physics before the end of 2025?
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Physical evidence for a modified gravity theory, or discovery of a new theory that better explains existing evidence, or discovery of evidence that disproves GR without a new theory all count.
GR does not have to be totally replaced, and a GR-compatible Grand Unified Theory doesn't count.
Resolved based on my interpretation of expert consensus.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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If something like shape dynamics becomes the new consensus, would you resolve YES? Or would you consider it an "interpretation" of GR?
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@mariopasquato If shape dynamics becomes the new consensus due to progress on quantum gravity using it, then no. If shape dynamics becomes the new consensus based on a difference in predicted macroscopic observations, yes.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
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How do I win cash prizes?
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