Will it be common knowledge that farmed fish, eggs and chicken produce more suffering than other animal products? (2050)
Will it be common knowledge that farmed fish, eggs and chicken produce more suffering than other animal products? (2050)
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It seems to be the case that some kinds of animal products produce much more suffering per serving than others. (How Much Direct Suffering Is Caused by Various Animal Foods?)
Will the public know about this in 2050?
Will resolve according to surveys if they exist or subjectively if I have the feeling that most people (in the west) know that farmed fish, eggs and chicken produce much more suffering than other animal products e.g. beef or wild fish.
Market based on these two posts.
On Ameliatarianism - by Ozy Brennan - Thing of Things
Let's Read A Paper: How To Convince People To Be Vegan
Will resolve N/A if it turns out this isn't actually the case and fish don't suffer or only humans suffer etc.
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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
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Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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