I raise at least 100 mana from this question by November?

Ṁ16k

in 2 hours

99.7%

chance

ALL

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the creator's total mana earned from this specific market reaches 100 mana or more by November 1, 2025, 00:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to NO. The creator's mana earnings for this market can be found on the market's page under the creator's statistics.

Background

Mana is the in-game currency used on Manifold Markets. Creators can earn mana from various activities, including a portion of the bets placed on their markets. For this specific market, the creator will receive 3 mana for each bet placed.

Considerations

The mana calculation for this market is based solely on the bets placed directly on this question, with each unique trader contributing 3 mana to the creator's earnings for this market.

Update 2025-10-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will not be trading on this market.

Update 2025-10-31 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Mana earnings are calculated at 3 mana per unique trader (not per bet placed).

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

24 Comments

27 Holders

257 Trades

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If you buy more yes you are guarenteed more mana

One more person...

0 more people to go!!! 🎉🎉🎉🎉

Why you guys keep on buying No? What if someone initiates a bounty to award new traders to join here?

sold Ṁ17 NO

@vdb There's not a lot of time left for that to happen

@FastFourier But it's Friday. What can you do on Friday other than trading in this market?

@vdb https://manifold.markets/vdb/free-mana-u9uZnpO5y5

@vdb *and halloween

@johnNZOy Exactly

bought Ṁ10 NO

So far it’s 23, x 3 (69) bots don’t give trader bonus.

@JackP Are bots counted toward unique traders?

@vdb Yes But this market is for mana raised. Check his balance log. Hes only received 23 times 3 mana bonuses

@JackP Why not 24 times 3 mana?

@vdb Because he never recieved a bonus for Dagonet bot trading.

@JackP Is Dragonet one of the 24 unique traders?

bought Ṁ10 NO

@vdb yes

reposted

@johnNZOy According to https://manifold.markets/johnNZOy?tab=balance-changes, you have raised 60 mana so far, right? The AI generated description saying "3 mana for each bet placed" is wrong, isn't it?

@4fa It is for each unique trader

@johnNZOy Except for bots, apparently.

sold Ṁ116 YES

@4fa want to buy more NO?

"The creator's mana earnings for this market can be found on the market's page under the creator's statistics." I guess that was hallucinated by the AI?

Because this… "For this specific market, the creator will receive 3 mana for each bet placed." …isn't true, either, it's per unique trader.

Will you be trading on this question?

@Chumchulum No.

Background

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