
Meta to release world's most advanced AI?
Plus
27
Ṁ4904Dec 31
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if a Meta LLM achieves the highest Arena Score on https://lmarena.ai/?leaderboard at any point before end-of-year. Includes reasoning models.
Background:
Mark Zuckerberg posted on Facebook:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a OpenAI, Anthropic, Google or Meta release an AI chatbot that has ads in the responses in 2025?
35% chance
Who will have the best LLM at the end of 2025 (as decided by ChatBot Arena)?
Will OpenAI top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard on December 31, 2025?
14% chance
Which Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will Llama 4 be the best LLM in the chatbot arena?
7% chance
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2025?
20% chance
Which LLM will have the highest ELO at the end of 2025 on ChatBot Arena?
Will a company other than OpenAI, xAI, and Google top the Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2025?
16% chance