Will Threads be popular, in my experience over the next two years?
Basic
8
Ṁ214May 23
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
techcrunch / platformer / poorly-sourced rumor of june launch
Resolves YES if I subjectively believe this is an app either me or some of my friends use.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Threads have >10M DAUs in two years?
41% chance
Will Threads have >1M DAUs in two years?
54% chance
Will Threads report more monthly active users than Twitter before 2026?
14% chance
Will Threads have >100k DAUs in two years?
80% chance
Will Twitter have more users than Meta Threads in December 2025?
82% chance
Will Meta Threads still be around in 2028?
61% chance
Will Meta's Threads have community mods by 2025?
61% chance