Resolves to my judgement, or the judgement of a mod resolution council if disputed. It's incredibly fuzzy and subjective, of course.
I'm aiming at: does the board have actual power over the direction of OpenAI, and are using it for some interest uncontrolled by Sam and partners? So this might resolve NO if sam's packed the board with people who are obviously his allies or under his control. Or maybe YES if the board's filled with a lot of EAS/safetyists/etc, or a mixture of both. If there's a significant conflict between the company/sam/MS and the board and Sam gets most of what he wants, that'd be a likely NO - but if the board gets a significant part or all of what it wants, that'd be a likely YES.
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3.00I don't get the confidence here. The new board doesn't seem to include Sam lackeys, it just includes Sam himself, which is insufficient for a NO resolution.
I suspect about 6 of the board members will be fairly neutral while 3 will be clearly on Sam's side. Would this resolve yes?
I'd expect that would - "yes if its a mixture of both" - but other factors could easily weigh against it, like if the neutral members clearly indicated no intent to ever take action against sam or something
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